Houston government’s 2nd term is likely to be harder than the first

Premier Tim Houston’s ninth sitting as premier, his longest since taking office, could provide insight into what the next few years will look like for him and his Progressive Conservative government. Re-elected governments often face greater challenges in their second terms, as the initial honeymoon period fades and voters expect more tangible results.

The Houston government entered this session with a focus on tax relief promises made during the recent election campaign. However, controversial legislation regarding hydraulic fracturing, uranium mining, and changes to access to information laws quickly dominated the political agenda. Public outcry led to modifications and abandonments of some of these plans, showcasing the government’s responsiveness to public feedback.

With a record-breaking majority in the last election, the PCs also implemented changes to House rules, allowing for the limitation of debate and speeding up the bill-making process. This move, however, was not necessary due to the government’s quick reaction to public concerns. The large caucus size of 43 members ensures a diverse range of voices at the table, making it harder for the government to dismiss opposition.

While the Houston government continues to attribute issues to past administrations, the focus will increasingly shift to their own record during this second term. Promises to “fix health care” made during the 2021 election will be under scrutiny, with voters expecting concrete results. Costly efforts to improve healthcare have been supported by unexpected revenue from population growth, but this may not be sustainable in the long term.

Political scientist Lori Turnbull warns that provincial governments cannot rely on windfalls or population growth for revenue, especially amidst global uncertainties like trade wars and political instability. Recent resignations of premiers in neighboring provinces highlight the challenges facing Canadian elected officials in the current climate.

Despite winning a historic majority, Premier Houston faces a tough road ahead in his second term. The realities of governing in a volatile political landscape, both domestically and internationally, will test his leadership and the effectiveness of his government’s policies. The next few years will be crucial in determining the success of the Progressive Conservative government in Nova Scotia.