Is the NDP in trouble? Party faces an uphill battle if snap election is called
The 2025 federal election was anticipated to be a turning point for Canada’s New Democratic Party (NDP). With polling indicating a desire for change among voters and the Liberal Party facing leadership challenges, the NDP seemed poised to make significant gains. Promises of progressive policies such as taxing the wealthy set the stage for a potentially successful campaign.
However, as the election drew closer, it became evident that the NDP was facing numerous challenges. The party’s polling average hit a new low, falling below 16 percent and trailing behind the Conservatives and Liberals. NDP leader Jagmeet Singh’s unfavourability rating was also on the rise, further complicating the party’s prospects.
According to experts, some of the NDP’s support had shifted to the Conservatives, particularly due to the appeal of Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre. Additionally, excitement surrounding Mark Carney, a front-runner in the Liberal leadership race, further eroded the NDP’s support base.
The NDP’s fundraising efforts lagged behind those of the Liberals and Conservatives, limiting their ability to counter negative ads targeting Singh. Critics argued that the party had allowed itself to be defined by its opponents, failing to effectively promote its achievements and differentiate itself in the political landscape.
While some unions supported the NDP’s policies, others felt that the party had drifted away from its labour socialist roots. Concerns were raised about the party’s focus on broad political messaging at the expense of addressing working-class issues such as wages and job protection.
As the election loomed, the NDP faced a critical moment of reckoning. With time running out and challenges mounting, the party needed to regroup, redefine its messaging, and reconnect with its base to regain momentum and relevance in the political arena. Only by addressing these issues head-on could the NDP hope to make a meaningful impact in the upcoming election.
