Expect an above-average hurricane season, says NOAA
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is forecasting an above-average Atlantic hurricane season for this year. The season, which typically runs from June 1 to Nov. 30, has a 60 per cent chance of being above-normal, a 30 per cent chance of being near-normal, and a 10 per cent chance of being below-normal.
NOAA is predicting between 13 to 19 named storms, with six to 10 of them potentially becoming hurricanes. Of those hurricanes, three to five are expected to be major hurricanes, ranging from Category 3 to Category 5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale. The agency has a 70 per cent confidence level in these predictions.
Last year, NOAA forecasted a similar range of named storms and hurricanes, and the actual numbers ended up being close to their predictions. Three storms from the 2024 season impacted Canada, with Hurricane Debby causing significant damage in Quebec and becoming the costliest severe weather event in the province’s history.
The warmer Atlantic Ocean temperatures, attributed to global warming, have not necessarily increased the number of storms but have led to more rainfall due to increased moisture in the atmosphere. There have been instances of rapid intensification, like Hurricane Otis in 2023, which strengthened from a tropical storm to a Category 5 hurricane in less than 24 hours.
NOAA officials emphasized the importance of preparedness for the upcoming hurricane season. They advised people to start preparing before any hurricanes develop, even if they are located further inland and believe they may not be directly impacted.
While the Trump administration’s cuts have affected about 10 per cent of NOAA’s workforce, the agency assured that weather prediction and protecting lives and property remain their top priorities. They encouraged individuals to gather supplies and create emergency kits in advance to ensure readiness for any potential hurricanes.
In conclusion, NOAA is urging everyone to take the necessary precautions and be prepared for what could be an active hurricane season ahead. Stay informed, stay safe, and be ready for any potential impacts.
