‘Grueling and arduous’: A look back at Canada-U.S. relations during the first Trump presidency

Canadian political leaders are congratulating Donald Trump on winning back the U.S. presidency — a victory that raises stark questions about what Canada-U.S. relations will look like over the next four years. During Trump’s first term in office, his administration sparred with Canada over trade issues, including the renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and tariffs imposed on certain Canadian aluminum products. Immigration also became a source of tension between the two countries when Trump announced a travel ban that affected several Muslim-majority countries — a move that prompted Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to tout Canada’s immigration system.

These issues are expected to crop up again after Trump takes office in January. During his campaign, Trump promised to impose a minimum 10 per cent global tariff and stage mass deportations. Trudeau’s cabinet ministers said Wednesday that Canada is prepared for a second Trump presidency. Foreign Affairs Minister Mélanie Joly, Innovation Minister François-Philippe Champagne, International Trade Minister Mary Ng and National Defence Minister Bill Blair discuss how they expect to work with the new Trump administration on trade, foreign affairs, and defense.

Renegotiating NAFTA Almost immediately after taking office in 2017, Trump and his team called for the renegotiation of the NAFTA trade deal with Canada and Mexico — and threatened to give six months’ notice of the deal’s termination if those two countries didn’t play ball. That kicked off 14 months of intense and often fractious negotiations between Canada and the U.S. A deal was finally reached in September 2018 and took effect in 2020. The new agreement also had a new name: the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA). The core of the deal was a trade-off between greater U.S. access to Canada’s dairy market, which is heavily protected by a system of supply management, and Canadian demands for the maintenance of a dispute resolution process.

Trump’s travel ban and immigration In early 2017, Trump also signed the Executive Order on Protecting the Nation from Foreign Terrorist Entry into the United States, which banned people from several Muslim-majority countries from entering the U.S. The order led to global outrage and was described as an effective ban on Muslims entering the United States. Canadian officials scrambled to understand the order’s impact on everything from refugee claims to biometric tracking. After the order was signed, Trudeau posted on social media that “Canadians will welcome you, regardless of your faith.” He also said he would continue to promote Canada’s open immigration policy in the face of Trump’s order.

A Quebec summit gone wrong On the heels of a G7 summit in Charlevoix, Que., Trump suddenly tweeted out personal attacks on Prime Minister Trudeau, calling him “very dishonest” and “weak.” He was apparently reacting to remarks Trudeau made when he was pressed by reporters to respond to Trump’s tough talk on trade at a closing press conference. At the time, Canada and the U.S. were in NAFTA talks and at odds over adding a sunset provision to the new agreement. Trudeau shut down the idea of a sunset provision and said “that’s not on the table.” The prime minister also said his government was going ahead with a plan to impose more than $16.5 billion in tariffs on U.S. goods.

Retaliatory tariffs In 2020, Canada said it would impose dollar-for-dollar tariffs on U.S. metal products after Trump re-imposed tariffs of 10 per cent on some Canadian aluminum products, ending a period of calm on the U.S.-Canada trade front. At the time, Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland called the Trump administration the most protectionist in U.S. history. She also called its rationale for new tariffs “ludicrous” and “absurd.” Both Ontario Premier Doug Ford and Quebec Premier François Legault expressed disappointment with Trump for re-imposing the tariffs. Legault thanked Trudeau for imposing counter-tariffs.

Trump has promised to implement a minimum tariff of 10 per cent on all imports entering the United States during his second term. Sources have told CBC News that Trump’s allies have offered no assurances of a reprieve for Canada. Gerald Butts, Trudeau’s former principal secretary, developed close relationships with some of Trump’s advisers during his first term. He told CBC’s The House that he’s “not sure there’s going to be a way of talking Donald Trump out of this.” Butts also said Trump is not afraid to wield access to the U.S. market to get what he wants out of negotiations. Canada already has started talks with members of Trump’s inner circle about avoiding new trade tariffs. The federal government has warned of retaliation on U.S. goods if the tariffs are imposed on Canada. Ettinger said he expects Trump to impose the tariffs quickly and he doesn’t think Canada will get the exemption it wants.