Summer weather outlook suggests Atlantic Canadians will be looking for shade
Environment and Climate Change Canada recently released its summer seasonal weather outlook, and it looks like Atlantic Canada is in for a hot summer. The outlook, which was explained to journalists during a webinar, predicts warmer-than-normal temperatures across most of Canada for the months of June, July, and August, including all of Atlantic Canada. While there is also a heightened likelihood of drier-than-usual conditions, the accuracy of this prediction is not as strong.
Meteorologist Jay Scotland from CBC Prince Edward Island, who participated in the webinar, emphasized that temperature outlooks tend to be more accurate than precipitation outlooks. He stated that there is a high probability, over 90 percent, of above-average temperatures in Atlantic Canada for the summer months. However, he also noted that day-to-day weather variations should still be expected, and cooler stretches cannot be ruled out.
The main factor contributing to the warmer temperatures is human-induced climate change, according to Scotland. He highlighted a 1.8-degree rise in Canada’s average summer temperature since 1948, which is almost twice the global average increase. Additionally, a positive phase of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) is also playing a role in the forecasted heat.
While the prospect of a drier summer is less certain, Scotland expressed concerns about the potential for increased fire risk. He mentioned that Environment and Climate Change Canada has indicated a heightened fire season, particularly in parts of New Brunswick, Prince Edward Island, and Nova Scotia in August. It is essential for residents to be mindful of fire bans, adhere to rules regarding controlled burning and campfires, and stay vigilant about the signs of heat illness during periods of warmer weather.
In conclusion, Atlantic Canadians should prepare for a summer characterized by above-average temperatures and possibly drier conditions. By staying informed, following safety guidelines, and being proactive in managing the risks associated with heat and fire, residents can enjoy a safe and comfortable summer season.
