Poll suggests PCs hold a commanding lead in Nova Scotia election

A recent poll conducted by Narrative Research has revealed that the Progressive Conservatives are poised to win a majority in the upcoming Nova Scotia provincial election. The survey, which took place from Nov. 4 to Nov. 17 and involved 526 adults, showed that 44% of decided voters would support the PCs, while the NDP garnered 28% and the Liberals received 24% of the vote. The Green Party trailed behind with just 3% support.

According to Margaret Brigley, CEO of Narrative Research, the results indicate that the PCs are in a strong position to win the election. However, the race for the official opposition remains uncertain. Brigley stated, “Our seat projection model suggests that second place is currently too close to call, and that the outcome will be largely dependent on who gets out to vote.”

Interestingly, the poll revealed that female and younger residents (18-34 years old) were more likely to support the NDP over the Liberals. This trend could have significant implications for the final election results.

In terms of regional support, the PCs were favored in both urban and rural areas. In Halifax Regional Municipality, the PCs led with 39% support, followed closely by the NDP at 35%, and the Liberals at 21%. In rural parts of the province, the PCs held a commanding lead with 49% support, while the Liberals and NDP trailed behind with 24% and 21% respectively.

When asked about their preference for premier, 35% of respondents chose PC Leader Tim Houston, while 23% favored NDP’s Claudia Chender, and 18% supported Liberal Leader Zach Churchill. However, a significant portion (23%) either had no preference or refused to answer.

Overall, the poll results suggest that the Progressive Conservatives are in a strong position heading into the provincial election. The race for the official opposition remains uncertain, with the NDP and Liberals competing closely for second place. The outcome will likely hinge on voter turnout and regional support.